26 May

India, DOCSIS, last mile broadband and more…

In my previous post, I shared how I am running redundant uplinks at home (in non-BGP based setup) with the primary link on RF and secondary on DOCSIS. One of my good friends asked me the reason for the sudden jump in DOCSIS-based players across India, especially in smaller cities.

Well, there are multiple reasons for it: 

  1. Fibre is less hard but still remains a cost point. ISPs in large metro cities ran fibre to the user’s building and go on cat5e/cat6 beyond that. That’s pretty much a lot of FTTH players do in India. That’s not possible in smaller cities which do not have multi-dwelling units.
  2. While the cost of fibre is low, the cost of CPE (i.e ONU in the case of GPON or media converter for active networks) is still slightly high. It has come dome drastically in last few years and is about to reach a point where it’s cost won’t be a consideration in near future. Presently at around 2000-2500 ~ $40 USD that is still a hard cost for mass deployment. On the other hand cost of DOCSIS 2.0 as well as DOCSIS 3.0 modems is extremely low.
  3. A considerable part of long coax plant of LCOs got converted into Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) as the digital television broadcast is pushed further across the country. So a lot of fibre is already present now (hanging around!) near to a large number of homes even in smaller cities.
  4. The demand for bandwidth is increasing but a lot in terms of GB usage a month while not in terms of raw speeds in megabit per second at the same rate. So while 2Mbps to 5-10Mbps is a major upgrade. Beyond 10-20Mbps there’s just not much demand as yet. It would be great once 4k streaming and more VR stuff get popular but at current levels, demand for speeds isn’t increasing beyond 10-20Mbps due to lack of “killer” application which takes more bandwidth.
  5. DOCSIS networks can be eventually upgraded to GPON all the way to end user with the fair amount of changes. Operators even do hybrid DOCSIS-GPON where they move high capacity end users on dedicated cable headends & even to GPON while leaving low demand users on DOCSIS.
  6. The cost of termination coax is low & relatively easy to handle compared to splicing fibre to pigtail.

 

Thus DOCSIS is a cheap way to build the last mile in tier 3 cities. While the cost of RG-6/RG-11 cable is on the high side (against the cost of fibre) the equipment is priced pretty low.

#2 here is important. While $40 may sound not much in West, that cost is really high. As per available data, 12.4% of Indian population is below the poverty line. Furthermore, if we speak of per capita income was Rs 93,293  ~ $1400 for year 15-16. And thus pricing really matters. It’s extremely large number of not connected population and extremely price sensitive market. Here people typically pay little over 1000Rs / $16 a month for broadband in metros & large cities and little less than that in smaller cities. Providers in Western countries charge typically 4-5x of that and much more once bundled with digital cable TV.

Some of the players who did large scale DOCSIS setup in recent times mostly are MSOs and come from the cable TV world.

  1. Hathway broadband – AS17488
  2. DEN cable  – AS45184
  3. Siti broadband – AS17747
  4. Netplus broadband – AS133661
  5. Ortel – AS23772
  6. Asianet broadband – AS17465

and more!

One thing is common across these players is good plans. Reliability does vary but is decent enough for the most part except few exceptions. Also, a large number of these players do CGNAT, and I am not aware of anyone of them giving IPv6 to end users as yet. 🙁

A quick view on plans

Hathway plans in Delhi

 

 

DEN Broadband in Delhi

 

If you are thinking this kind of plans where 50Mbps is being offered for 1200Rs /  $18 exist only Delhi, let me share some of the plans from smaller cities.

 

Netplus broadband in Punjab

 

Speedtest by one of their users and my friend Damanjit:

 

So how come these networks are cable to offer relatively good plans as compared to larger telcos who are mostly on DSL? One of lawyer friend from Bangalore asked this question earlier this month. This is due to following:

  1. The cost of IP transit is getting lower and lower across the world. While it’s still quite high in India compared to global standards but the decline is phenomenal. Thus these players are able to buy high capacity bandwidth drop at wholesale prices.
  2. The cost of point to point circuits is getting lower along with more content coming to India along with high-value content getting concentrated over CDNs. Over around half (actually 60% or so) of typical Indian eyeball ISP traffic can be offloaded via GGC, Google Peering, Akamai cache, Microsoft, Amazon, Limelight and so on besides generic HTTP and P2P caching. There’s a decent competition these days on the point to point circuit provider across India in all major cities. There are Govt. options (Railtel, Powergrid) as well as private players (Tata Comm, Airtel, Reliance, Vodafone, Aircel) etc offering circuits (which is known as NLD or National Long Distance in India).
  3. In terms of the last mile, these networks are typically DOCSIS 3.0 (for MSOs) backhauled over GPON or GEPON (yes, DOCSIS backhauled on PON instead of direct Ethernet circuits!).  From a central location where CMTS is located, traffic is pushed towards societies over HFC plant, in societies usually, remote PHY devices are deployed to do optical to coax conversion & then on each headend lot’s of end users are connected. So the layer 1 aggregation happens on these phy devices hanging around.

 

The capacity on last mile as well as the middle mile is quite questionable on these networks due to multiple layers of contention (DOCSIS as well as xPON) but since traffic growth is relatively predictable and happens over a period of months, this part is somewhat managed. FTTH, of course, is the way to go in the long term, but if these players can cut costs and offer reasonable bandwidth at cheap prices, DOCSIS is a fine option. In Rohtak, for instance, Siti broadband’s 5/10/20/50 Mbps packages are competing with Govt. owned BSNL’s 2/4/8Mbps plans with low FUPs.

 

 

GPON, as well as DOCSIS, offer a flexible approach of splitting circuit coming from OLT (in GPON) or Phy (in DOCSIS) as the need comes. So for instance in the case of FTTH on GPON, one can aggregate 16 or more users over such passive splitter:

 

in the case of DOCSIS, it’s usual old school (though improved) coax taps:

While DSL is very different as compared to it. The cost of aggregating DSL userbase over DSLAM is much higher and capacities on ADSL are quite low.

This is how a typical DOCSIS remote PHY looks like

 

Ending this post with some pictures of outdoor fibre plant from my recent Bangalore trip. That’s part of our Digital Slum here in India.

01 Apr

India’s digital slum problem

India has a slum problem as many of us know. Slums are a serious problem and there’s just no easy way to fix them. One cannot just push thousands and thousands of people out while at the same time quality of life in slums is terrible. One thing which happens a lot in India is the fact that Govt. does nothing when slums are getting established and once they are established situation gets out of control.

 

 

Coming to digital slums

This exact problem is applicable even to digital India. Optical fibre is one of the key and extremely important components of the “Digital India”. While Digital India may sound more like a fancy marketing word but one cannot simply expect much unless connectivity is there and with connectivity I mean affordable, reliable, super-fast connectivity with low latency. Most of the wireless technologies cannot deliver it or simply cannot scale up. So we need more and more fibre. Just like everywhere else we need to push fibre closer to the end user. Our approach in that design needs to be far different from Western world especially US, UK, etc. They lag behind considerably in last mile fibre deployment and the conditions are far different in deployments over there Vs of India.

Say for instance:

  1. Fixed line infra using twisted copper & coax is well built and is present in most parts of the Western world. In India, it’s almost missing.
  2. The cost of replacing existing infra is high in the Western world due to the expectation of certain quality, compliance etc and that makes it extremely expensive in terms of per user cost of delivering FTTH. I have read a number of estimates where it can cost $2000 – $3000 per household in an urban FTTH deployment.Even if it’s half of this it’s still on the quite higher side. In India, it’s a fraction of the cost.
  3. “Fibre to the node and something else beyond” can give high bandwidth. It may not be able to give 1Gbps but can easily do 50-100Mbps. Technologies like VDSL, DOCSIS 3.0 (and upcoming 3.1), use of cat5e / cat6 wiring inside buildings can give high bandwidth for a fraction of the cost. In India, that’s not an option (at large scale) due to a number of issues ranging from location/real estate cost of mini-PoP, cooling requirements, reliable & backup power requirements & ensuring no one steals the stuff! All that makes FTT(n) harder than FTTH in India. 

 

So is the picture so rosy and everything is fantastic? Can we expect lot’s of FTTH deployment now and for a really low price? Before I come to that, let me post some of the pictures I took recently of Salte Lake Electronic Complex, Kolkata.

 

It’s ugly, unscalable, will soon have reliability issues and of course it’s extremely likely illegal. It’s not just about Kolkata. Pick any of commercial areas in any of large Indian city and it would be similar. These are what we can call as “Digital slums”. Govt. isn’t focusing on them, they are coming up, getting established, serving gigs of capacity to various high revenue generating companies around. Same is true not just for India but most of developing countries around us.

 

Some pictures from streets in Dhaka

 

Some pictures from Kathmandu

 

and some pictures from last month’s travel to Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam:

 

Here’s a quick video showing it feels like over there…

 

That’s about Vietnam. Things would be scary if we try to replicate such model in a country like India. Thus one can clearly establish that this is going be a major problem and needs to be addressed.  At this point of time, one may ask why fibre gets deployed in this way? I asked this to a number of Indian networks and here is the summary of why:

  1. Rights of way are deadly expensive. Rights of way or RoW is referred to the charge network operators need to pay to local municipal bodies because of interruption when the fibre is deployed. Cost depends on a lot on the area but in key areas in Delhi, it can be as high as 80lakhs – 1crore per KM ($1.54k). Remember we are not talking about the cost of fibre (which is very low) or even hardware, or anything. This is a one-off cost that goes to municipal bodies. In my own city, I have 3 telco pits within 400m of my house and one of the telcos gave me an unofficial quote of 15lakhs ($23000!) for extending their fibre 400m.
  2. Because of above there’s a huge market of so-called LCOs (Local Cable Operators) and they lay the fibre. LCOs have (mostly) unofficial contracts with other LCOs and a considerable amount of last mile infra is not of any telco or ISP, it’s indeed of LCOs.
  3. The above model does not scale up since multiple LCOs put multiple fibre cables & a large part of it is illegal, undocumented and hence not worth much money on paper resulting in “hard to prove asset” for any private funding for expansion.

Illegal but ethical?

While a lot of that is purely illegal I cannot say it should not be allowed at all and Govt. should remove all of them right away. I know many smaller ISPs operating in tier 2, tier 3 cities and they provide excellent service, great competition and very good network built on fibre and mostly with GPON / GEPON etc. Almost all of them offer an excellent competition to state-run BSNL which is poor in most of the aspects of service deployment to technology, from sales to customer support. In other words, we very much need smaller private players to lay networks and they can do really well. Which makes the whole problem similar to “slums” and hence we can call it “India’s Digital Slum” problem. We can’t just get rid of them while we ignored and still very much ignoring the problem as it’s building up.

 

Possible solution?

So what can be a solution to this problem? Cheap RoW is not a solution. Already Indian cities struggle very much with basic infrastructure and cheap RoW will result in excessive digging, more broken roads, and more outages in utility services. While there has been a lot of innovation in the application layer, layer 3 as well as even transport layer there’s not much in the optical fibre. What I am trying to point out essentially is that fibre optic cables are more of a commodity now and single mode cables are cheap. The overall technology whether one does active ethernet or passive PON – the cost of technology is very low. A design of 100% underground cables is needed and will be ideal setup with the flexibility of adding more networks. If the optical fibre is laid by one or few players it can lead to the dangerous non-competition condition. While Govt’s efforts to do FTTH via BSNL & MTNL are nothing but a terrible waste of taxpayers money in the inefficiencies of those organisations. While interestingly other Govt. players who are doing fibre on long haul are doing much better. Take the case of RailTel or Powergrid Telecom. Both very much compete with their private counterparts for IP transit as well as high capacity circuits on long haul  (we refer those as NLD in India).

Here’s a possible solution for last mile deployment without ugly cables & which can work:

  1. A cabinet on each and every street in the city rolled out in phased manner across the country. One can have a single cabinet at inter- section. (This already exists at large scale for BSNL’s & MTNL’s copper infra btw!)
  2. Cabinet has to be active (with power!) so that one can put a switch or GPON OLT. Logic has to be to the aggregate traffic of all homes in the neighbourhood.
  3. It should be Govt. which lays cables from each of this street cabinet to atleast one of 4-5 neutral exchanges across a city (whichever is nearby). Number of exchanges very much depend on the size of the city. So, for instance, Delhi or Kolkata would need lot more. As long as there is 288 strand fibre available from core exchange area to the street, one can have as many as 100 ISPs + (each taking two strands up to cabinet). Now ISPs can decide which last mile technology to use. One can do with lower strand depending on the city. Even a 48 core can give over 20 ISPs per area which is fair amount of competition. Ideal would be to connect each cabinet to two exchanges so ISPs can create their own “rings” for redundancy reasons.
  4. From cabinets to each home ideal would be to have underground fibre laid by Govt. but doing that will be terribly expensive. It makes lot more sense to have overhead (well planned) cables from cabinet to each home. This won’t look as ugly as one may think and reduces cost significantly. Overhead at such shorter scale gives the option of “connecting home as demand comes”. While entire underground approach has to cover all and that doesn’t work well in terms of very low internet penetration.
  5. Connectivity beyond the central exchanges can be very well done with 100% underground fibre with existing expensive RoW since fibre beyond this point will be of telcos and by logical design would be used by lot’s of players with DWDM and cost won’t be a challenge. It’s similar to existing significant underground fibre reaching BTS sites across the country.

 

So under such design one can have a number of larger networks building their own fibre or simply buying waves from existing fibre players to reach exchanges in the city, a number of smaller ISPs can colocate their routers in neutral exchanges and take 2 strands of fibre to any of the streets via cross connect. And put a switch or OLT or any other technology which comes later or even a direct patch all the way from one central exchange in the city to end user. I cannot imagine any other solution which can possibly work without either making it more expensive or existing illegal way. Such model can have very least dependency on Govt. as the Govt can do basic pipes and neutral passive infra while leaving service deployment, plans & packages, marketing and various other aspects of a connection to private players. Such infra can very well be used for small cell sites which can service that neighbourhood and hence makes it possible to reduce strain on larger sites. Models like Stokab project followed in Stockholm is impressive. It tells how it can be done by Govt. / Municipal without burning tax payer’s money and in fact generate revenue out of it. Current Indian approach of overhead cables works and is fine for a shorter time but will be a massive “digital slum problem” in near future as more and more people are connected.